Entradas

Mostrando entradas de abril, 2020

Virtual Sensor

Imagen
by Pedro Perdomo A Virtual Sensor Implementation using digital twin models . You need data to train a virtual sensor. This was the main problem to surpass in this project.  So , how do you pretend training  a neural sensor without data collected? We started this project with no data in advanced. Starting to collect data and wait for extreme conditions to occur, ie. operating the column and the plant  over limit conditions was not a good idea for operators. We needed to collect data, good amount of data, but with variety.  We tried to produce this by operating at limits , but it is not always possible. In each condition you have to wait for stabilization and in the other hand, you need to collect samples to the lab. These are real issues once you try it out.  We had a digital model  of the column in a popular simulation software.  This digital model was recently certified by comparing with real data in a very good range of operat...

The evolution of the forecast

Imagen
by Pedro Perdomo El hombre ha evolucionado de ser puramente reactivo, basado en su propia percepción principalmente de supervivencia, al Cyber Robot basado en el análisis de datos y la visión del futuro. La evolución de las herramientas de Machine Learning nos brinda esta nueva oportunidad. De una manera muy simple, el aprendizaje automático incluye métodos para predecir situaciones, basados en datos y patrones que ya han ocurrido antes. Hoy en día, los algoritmos más sofisticados de "aprendizaje profundo" con redes neuronales aún no son perfectos y cometen errores. La evolución permite que la sociedad explore la diversidad y la complejidad casi ilimitadas de los fenómenos científicos, pero incluso las técnicas computacionales sofisticadas como el aprendizaje automático y la inteligencia artificial no pueden proporcionar los ajustes abiertos asociados con la evolución. Así como los humanos no han sido capaces de alcanzar el 100% de precisión, espero que ...

Overfitting Machine Learning Models

Imagen
The third model in the picture fit better the predictor variable. It models the training data so well !   But it is not the best one ! Putting it into production will produce big prediction errors over new data. “Overfitting is a modeling error that occurs when a function is too closely fit to a limited set of data points. Overfitting the model generally takes the form of making an overly complex model to explain idiosyncrasies in the data under study “ (1)   . Machine Learning is not to compete with a formal math function. It is not a good idea to compare with formal math equations. Machine learning algorithms describe the world in some different way, not fully comprehensible, but for sure most of the time even more accurate than math models developed by scientist.